What's the Matter in Kansas? Thoughts From the Heartland

28Aug/100

Today’s Matters: Republicans have the ‘Mo’

1. We're another week closer to the general election, now just 65 days away, which is forever in politics. However, there is a distinct direction the populace is headed in: RIGHT. State Representative Kevin Yoder is celebrating on his Facebook page about how the 3rd U.S. Congressional District now 'leans Republican' according to CQ Politics. And for good reason: polling and primary turnout across the country shows Republicans are more enthusiastic, quite possibly twice as excited to vote as their Democratic counterparts - the opposite of the 2006 midterms.

Steve Kraske reports on Prime Buzz:

Charlie Cook, the most respected forecaster in the political stratosphere, is standing by his prediction that Republicans will take back the House in November. They need 39 seats. Cook estimates a 35-45 seat gain for the GOP. But, he adds, he’s being conservative.

“The odds of it being higher than that range are a lot better than lower,” Cook told The Wall Street Journal.

While we’re talking about Cook, his non-partisan Cook Political Report reported last week that it’s now monitoring 120 House races. That’s the “the largest playing field we’ve seen in years.”

In 2006, Cook watched 75 competitive races; in 2004, it was 64. Here’s the clincher: 102 of the 120 seats being monitored are Democrat-held.

What does this mean? Well, besides Cook's national prediction that Republicans will re-take the House of Representatives in November, the Republican wave has twice the strength in Kansas: not only are voters reacting to a Democratic presidential administration, they are also reacting to eight years of Democratic executive control in Kansas, under Governors Mark Parkinson and Kathleen Sebelius.

Thus, not only is retiring Senator Sam Brownback in excellent shape to become the next governor of Kansas, but so are candidates like State Rep. Yoder and Congresswoman Lynn Jenkins, who would typically face tough races in fairly divided districts, and State Senator Derek Schmidt, who is running against state Attorney General Steve Six, who has done a quietly respectable job since being appointed to the office nearly four years ago. However, State Sen. Schmidt, the Republican Senate Majority Leader, has an enormous lead, primarily due to his party affiliation, par for the course this cycle. (Katie Stockstill of Prairie Politics has the story and its implications in statewide races this fall.)

2. Democratic State House candidate Dan Manning of the state's 91st District, an openly gay man, came home from work last Saturday morning with a death threat taped to his door.

The note was created with letters cut from newspapers and other publications, and it noted that he’s a candidate for the House. It said “Will DIE,” “Kill,” “MURDER” and “Head OFF.” It also used two derogatory references to homosexuality.

Manning said he checked his doors and windows to make sure he was safe. He said he immediately reported the note to Wichita police.

Capt. Joe Dessenberger said police have not identified any witnesses or suspects. The letter is being checked for fingerprints.

No additional word has been released since last week.

3. State Representative Raj Goyle, Democratic candidate for U.S. Congressman in Kansas' 4th District, released a new TV ad, last week:

In related news, Wichitopekington has an interesting blog entry on the redundancy of State Rep. Goyle and opponent Mike Pompeo's campaigns.

4. The Wichita Eagle Editorial Blog lauds Sen. Brownback's goals for Kansas aviation in this short blog post yesterday.

5. Amelia Earhart, the famed female pilot from Atchison, Kansas, may soon "land" in the U.S. Capitol. A statue of Earhart was chosen to represent Kansas (two statues represent each state in the Capitol) nearly 11 years ago by the State Legislature, though the statue was never commissioned. The group Equal Visibility Everywhere is now working to change that.

22Aug/101

Want to rant? Reach for humor

Back to school and now – after a week of resident assistant training and the first two days of classes – back to blogging.

It’s general election season and there’s little actual news that’s happened in the last 20 days since my last post. What I have found has been disappointing. (Cue the rant...)

On the Johnson County edition of the national blog Red County, there’s an attack on former presidential candidate and Senator Bob Dole for making a $1,000 contribution to the U.S. Senate campaign of Florida Governor Charlie Christ, who is running as an Independent after being strategically forced out of the Republican Party by the strong candidacy of former State Representative Marco Rubio. Sen. Dole deserves no such treatment: whether you wish him and his politics well or ill, his character is near universally well respected and what he chooses to do with his personal money is an action which should require no explanation. Why should Republicans always support Republicans? And Democrats, Democrats? Politics should be about the people we elect, not the ‘R’ or ‘D’ or ‘I’, ‘L’, ‘G’, etc. next to their name.

The blog Forward Kansas, meanwhile, seems to think that a candidate for U.S. Congress – in this case State Representative Kevin Yoder – will simply sign a pledge without having some time to look it over first. Yes, by all means, walk into a candidate’s campaign office with something they’ve never seen before and expect, in a relatively short period of time, for said pledge to be agreed to with Yoder’s “John Hancock”. Ads and guarantees such as these reduce the discourse and deny the nuance inherent in politics. Especially inflammatory for a moderately educated member of the public is the provision which suggests that Rep. Yoder, if elected, should not support any proposal which might see a rise in the age of eligibility for Social Security. Considering the program is financially insolvent long-term and people in the United States have much higher life expectancies today than they did 75 years ago, such a provision in the extension and reformation of the program is not an outlandish or inflammatory idea.

I have no intention of making this habit, but I must in this case due to the example: former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin has often received criticism for talking about “gotcha” moments in interviews, what the Kansas Democratic Party has engaged in with this video is one such attempt.

On the other hand, I must give Colin Curtis, Forward Kansas’ primary writer, credit for reporting Mike Pompeo’s Twitter link to an inflammatory rant about his competitor for U.S. Congress in the Fourth District, State Representative Raj Goyle. (Concerning those remarks, the Wichita Eagle Editorial Blog has accepted Pompeo’s mea culpa for the whole thing, while also suggesting that this might still be a sign of things to come from those opposed to Rep. Goyle.)

In national news, much has been said with regard to the building of a mosque near the place where the World Trade Center towers once stood. (Check this Washington Post article for details) President Barack Obama has come out in support of the project moving forward, while many high profile politicians have ardently disagreed. The following segment from The Daily Show with Jon Stewart frames our country’s sad dialogue on the issue and offers solid constitutional conclusions.

The Daily Show With Jon Stewart Mon - Thurs 11p / 10c
Extremist Makeover - Homeland Edition
www.thedailyshow.com
Daily Show Full Episodes Political Humor Tea Party

What else can we do? This week, I had a discussion with a new friend, who was not registered to vote, about politics – and she expressed that the most difficult issue for her was the fact that the discussion centered around everyone’s own facts, that policies were not talked about, rather it had devolved into a grand, never-ending “he said-she said”. So I asked her, “You know what the solution is?”

She responded by saying that she understood – from her father’s reminders – that voting was that solution. And he’s right, but in a way you might not expect: in this case, its about voting for people who do not engage in this sort of demonization of opponents, of making generalizations about policy decisions, of contributing to the problem and not the solution.

Former U.S. Congressman from Kansas and Secretary of Agriculture Dan Glickman added another suggestion in The Wichita Eagle on August 8:

With events filtered through a partisan midterm election and a heat wave smothering the nation's capital, it seems the first thing to wilt is Washington's sense of humor.

...the ability of elected officials to indulge in a good collective laugh — not to make light of serious situations but to ease tensions — has become a too-rare civility in modern political life. It is not an overstatement to say that the country suffers for all of the endless indignation and offense.

...If I had my way, we'd carve the words of Hubert Humphrey into the Capitol dome. On Nov. 3, 1977, he was the first sitting senator to address the House in regular session. He was late in life and dying of cancer. Fight every battle as if the world depended on victory, he told the House. But after all is said and done, go over and shake your opponent's hand.Your enemy today may be your ally tomorrow, he said. Don't burn your bridges.

Bipartisanship seems to have become a four-letter word — the act of sellouts and betrayal of "the team" — rather than the fine art of compromise and the essential act of getting things done. That's a dangerous place for us to be as a country.

Defining victory as political points scored rather than real progress achieved makes our country weak and ineffectual. If we remain distracted by our differences, the world will pass us by.

There are, no doubt, deep and genuine divisions between the parties. And the notion of a loyal opposition is a healthy one in any democracy.

The looming question is, do we have the will — indeed, the capacity — to reach common ground where it is required?

One of the most underestimated tools in politics, leadership and life is a sense of humor — the ability to laugh not just at others but at ourselves. More than ever, we need humor's deflationary influence in the nation's capital. It's an essential release valve, a check on all the overheated rhetoric and a bridge to real dialogue.

Mark Twain got it right when he said, "against the assault of laughter nothing can stand."

Humor alone can't solve our problems. But it can open the door to greater civility, a little more humanity and some much-needed productivity in our nation's governance.

New York Times columnist Charles M. Blow built upon Glickman's thoughts in a recent column where he said he is willing to cast in his lot with kids – even the Canadian pop star Justin Bieber to run our nation:

Maybe we should just let the children run the country, at least until the recession is over. They appear to be the only people not bubbling over with anger, anxiety and frustration.

According to a Gallup poll released on Thursday, 70 percent of U.S. students in grades 5 through 12 say they are thriving, 63 percent say they feel engaged and 53 percent say they feel hopeful.

Adults are a bit more bitter.

A CNN poll also released on Thursday found that 70 percent of adults describe themselves as angry and 69 percent think things are going badly in the country. In a NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey also released on Thursday, 58 percent of Americans said they think that things in this country are “off on the wrong track.”

Yes, I know, we parents have to pay for our children’s unlimited cellphone packages so they can text until their thumbs are bigger than their forearms. And we have to pay the mortgage so they can continue to hang out in that filthy room with the pizza box under the bed. Meeting those obligations has us racked with worry now that the recession has sucked out our happiness like one of Harry Potter’s Dementors.

But that’s the problem. The recession has made us all so crazy and consumed by insecurities that we can’t think straight. We’re misbehaving like we’re the children, and in many cases having to apologize for it.

…there’s the Democratic state representative, Timothy Horrigan, from New Hampshire. After Ted Stevens, the former Alaska senator, was killed in a plane crash this week, Keith David Halloran, a New Hampshire Democrat, posted this message on his Facebook page: “Just wish Sarah and Levy were on board,” clearly referring to Sarah Palin and Levi Johnston.

To that, Horrigan responded: “Well a dead Palin wd be even more dangerous than a live one ... she is all about her myth & if she was dead she cldn’t commit any more gaffes.”

Seriously guys? I’m the first to say that I want to keep Palin as close to Russia and as far away from Washington as humanly possible, but debating the merits of her demise in a plane crash is heinous. Horrigan has since resigned.

One of the few lawmakers who seems to be having fun by acting like a child is Senator Frank Lautenberg of New Jersey. He is scheduled to have a fund-raiser at Lady Gaga’s “Monster Ball” tour stop in Washington on Sept. 7. Lautenberg is 86 years old, but there is no resisting a woman who once wore a see-through plastic dress with a giant silver lobster as a headpiece. Everybody loves lobster.

Another is John McCain, who seems to be flirting with the über-tan “Jersey Shore” star Nicole “Snooki” Polizzi (after having bonded with each other over tanning salon taxes in June). Snooki was arrested for disorderly conduct last month. This week, McCain told a Phoenix radio station that “I kind of think she might be too good-looking to go to jail.” A wink, wink from the dashing 73-year-old with the wispy locks. One bit of advice to Snooki: Don’t go to McCain’s home base in Arizona. The state is hostile to people of your current complexion.

So, yes, I cast my lot with the actual children, and not because I think that they’re Obama-conformists, either. They’re not. In fact, they’re even more harsh on the president than adults. An April poll of high school students published by Hamilton College found that “70 percent of African-Americans in the survey give Obama a favorable rating, but the analogous number is only 21 [percent] for whites.” That’s far lower than their adult counterparts. A Quinnipiac University poll of adults also released in April found that 92 percent of blacks approved of the president’s handling of his job compared with just 35 percent of whites. (If I were Obama, this would keep me up at night. The next wave of his campaign army may not be so eager to enlist in 2012.)

Though Blow doesn't really bring his column to a conclusion, it fits well with the point trying to be made here: the general election promises to be a nasty fight to the finish - the only way to make change is to pay attention to the candidates who do and do not find ways to be civil, who can and cannot reach common ground with their opponents, who use humor - not to poke light in serious times - to defuse a stressed public and polarized political corps.

Example:

Or this, though it comes from a bit of a different angle, seeking interns:

We must not grow faint or weary, we must not lose faith in the power of our votes, our voices. If we educate ourselves, if we demand nuanced, caring leadership, we can get "change we believe in." (Though it might take a while.)

22Aug/100

Today’s Matters: Do Democrats have a chance?

1. In a new SurveyUSA poll, Republicans lead big in statewide races. The smallest margin for a Republican over a Democrat in the races for U.S. Senate, Governor, Secretary of State, Attorney General, Treasurer, and Insurance Commissioner? 20 percentage points. Ouch.

This isn't much of surprise, however, as Red Kansas simply reacts first to an 8-year run of Democratic governors, second to a Democratic presidential administration. Democrats might need to start preparing for 2012 already, focusing on the State House.

2. State Representative Kevin Yoder has proposed six debates with fellow Third District U.S. Congressional candidate Stephene Moore, according to Prime Buzz. Yoder wants a response by Monday.

1) Kansas City Chamber of Commerce, noon Sept. 17.

2) TBA at the Sheraton Overland Park.

3) University of Kansas debate, 7 p.m. Sept. 27.

4) Johnson County Community College, hosted by a coalition of organizations including the Kansas City Star and League of Women Voters of Johnson County, 7 p.m. Oct. 7.

5) Jewish Community Center, hosted by the Jewish Community Relations Bureau/ American Jewish Committee, 7p.m. Oct. 13.

6) Shawnee Mission East High School, hosted by the SME Student Council, The SME Harbinger student news publication, and the student councils of several other local public high schools, 7 p.m. Oct. 20.

3. In related news, former State Representative Patricia Lightener, Yoder’s primary opponent in a Republican field that featured nine competitors, has formally thrown her support behind the Republican nominee.

In other Yoder news, Moore has gone after him over his proposed budget from the latest legislative session, which would not have increased funding to state K-12 education.

Related is a blog entry from Voice for Liberty in Wichita author Bob Weeks explaining the Right’s side to school spending – fairly solid information about where the money comes from. Meanwhile, Dome on the Range calls out Senator Sam Brownback for a lack of detail on changing the state school finance formula, something he’s spoken of doing on the campaign trail for governor.

4. Fair tax, or not? According to Prime Buzz, State Rep. Yoder does not support the Fair Tax.  However, this video from the KDP suggests otherwise – that Yoder has said publicly he’s against it, but privately he’s said the opposite…

5. In Kansas' Fourth District, Bob Weeks has broken down the race between Mike Pompeo v. State Representative Raj Goyle on where their campaign contributions come from.

6. Democrats for Brownback land an important member from a strong Democratic family from Wyandotte County. Steve Kraske of the KC Star explains.

7. Freemont, Nebraska will have to raise property taxes to pay Kansas Secretary of State candidate Kris Kobach for his services in defending an immigration ordinance.

Praire Politics also reports that the statistics concerning the problem of voter fraud in Kansas “don’t match” the message Kobach has been offering.

8. Praire Politics: Libertarian gubernatorial candidate Andrew Gray released an education plan two days ago as the little known candidate shifts his campaign into gear.

22Aug/100

Four more surveys

Candidates for the Kansas House of Representatives:

Roberta Eveslage (D - 39), Zach Ketteman (D - 81), Jim Faris (D - 47), and William Prescott (R - 59). Page one for each is on the left, page two the right. Links to previous surveys received can be found at the following link. Not sure if any of these people are seeking your vote? Use this program to find out.

2Aug/100

Today’s Matters: Election guides

Alright, I'm back for the first time in four weeks and thus have access to a lot more information than I did abroad. Therefore, bear with me today, the last before votes are tallied in primary elections across the state tomorrow night. Speaking of which, Secretary of State Chris Biggs predicts 19 percent turn-out of registered voters, or about 324,000 Kansans between voting tomorrow, advance ballots (mailed in) and advance voting.

Some of those registered however - about 126,000 - have unknown or invalid addresses. Kansas Watchdog did a great piece incorporating academics, Elections Commissioners and Secretary of State candidates in explaining the issue. (They also have a number of candidate videos on YouTube. Check them out.)

Anyway, feel free not to read it all, rather those races which apply to you (Republicans have a closed primary; Democrats and Unaffiliateds, voters not registered with a political party, can vote in the Democratic primary). And here we go...

U.S. Senate: Congressman Todd Tiahrt threw up one last ad this weekend in his heated Republican primary contest with colleague Rep. Jerry Moran. Yet, in a related survey, Kansans are not pleased with negative advertising. However much this is accurate, it remains a tried and true political tactic with no signs of changing.

Bob Weeks of the Voice for Liberty in Wichita blog has put together a collection of stories and opinion about the two major Republican primary candidates.

"Big First" Congressional: Republican candidate Tracey Mann lost a series of endorsements last week for suggesting on a Salina radio show that the President needs to "come forth with his papers and show everyone that he is an American citizen." Mann has been neck and neck with State Senator Jim Barnett in the latest polling.

**An excellent source of information is Prairie Politics, a "Project of the McPherson Sentinel".

Second Congressional: This has been such a quiet race. Of recent note, State Senator and Republican challenger Dennis Pyle, the tiny thorn in Incumbent Republican U.S. Congresswoman Lynn Jenkins' side, asked the Congresswoman to pay back $420,000 in tax payer funded mailings her office sent out in 2009. As for the Democrats? There's Sean Tevis, Cheryl Hudspeth and Thomas Koch. Here's the LJ-World's story on the seemingly silent trio.

Third Congressional: Democrat Stephene Moore has jumped on former State Representative and Republican U.S. Congressional candidate Patricia Lightner's bandwagon following a mailer from GOP primary front runner State Representative Kevin Yoder. The mailer, which depicts a donkey in a pink elephant suit, was originally reported on in Prime Buzz, here.

Lightner went up on TV over the weekend with the following, a last gasp against Yoder, who she only refers to "as my opponent."

**Check out this offering by The Kansas City Star and the Schools of Journalism at both MU and KU, an excellent guide to Kansas City-area - on both sides of the state line -  local and national elections. Star reporters Steve Kraske and Dave Helling also put together their idea of best case and worst case scenarios for major candidates in tomorrow's elections. It's a gives you a good idea of what to expect when the returns come in.

Fourth Congressional: A somewhat shady third-party group from Ohio is attacking the rising State Senator Jean Schodorf just before the hotly contested primary Tuesday (KAKE10 Wichita also has the story, here). Television ads began airing Friday following radio ads (visit commonsensekansas.com to see both) that began earlier last week from a group called Common Sense Issues (visit their website here), which according to the Federal Election Commission, has spent "at least $76,600" opposing Schodorf and former front-runner Wink Hartman, while supporting the candidacy of Mike Pompeo. The timing of the advertisement has the interesting timing with the Wichita Eagle Editorial blog's assertion that Pompeo is worried about Schodorf's fast rise.

Voice for Liberty in Wichita has a great examination of the various polls swirling about the race the average of which has Pompeo and Schodorf tied (the manner in which he finds this lacks mathematical soundness, but considering the three polls cited and the differences cited amongst them, one has trouble reaching any other than his conclusion).

The Eagle's Editorial blog has called out Pompeo and Hartman for "Pointing fingers while extending hands" in terms of government aid for their businesses.

**The Wichita Eagle has arranged a great voter guide that allows voters to see their potential ballots and then find out more information about the candidates on them.

Governor: Hot-shot U.S. Senator and leading gubernatorial candidate Sam Brownback has oddly polled at under a 50 percent approval rating for the fourth consecutive month. Still don't think that means anything, yet.

State Treasurer: Republican State Senate Majority Leader and candidate for Treasurer Derek Schmidt has been using tax payer money for a lot of driving, notes Dome on the Range. Seems kind of fishy, but there have been no official charges thus far.

Secretary of State: Governor Mark Parkinson and State House Minority Leader Paul Davis have taken somewhat controversial stands in endorsing appointed Secretary of State Biggs over State Senator Chris Steineger in the Democratic primary for Secretary of State tomorrow. It's unusual for party leaders to do this before a primary, but this has been a consistent fact of life for Sen. Steineger, as expressed in this column by Steve Kraske in May and this blog, which is factually accurate, but extremely slanted against the challenger from KCK.

Interesting notes: Gallup's "State of the states". Polling on politics, the economy and wellbeing accumulated over time developing a larger picture of consumer confidence, Republican and Democratic tendencies and various health distinctions (emotional, physical, etc.) of the people of each state. It's a rather interesting picture of Americans.

A quick blurb about Sarah Palin's upcoming America By Heart, due out on November 23, 2010. Publisher Harper Collins says the book, "ranges widely over American history, culture, and current affairs, and reflects on the key values-both national and spiritual-that have been such a profound part of Governor Palin's life and continue to inform her vision of America's future." Writing certainly is an excellent medium for expressing one's views.

Important deals are being struck in Wichita to reinforce and strengthen relationships with the aviation industry, a vital part of the local economy. The Wichita Eagle Editorial blog is a good starting point for information.

More bad press for the Kansas Chamber of Commerce, this time from Steve Rose, noted moderate Republican, brief 3rd District Congressional candidate and long-time publisher of The Johnson County Sun.

27Jul/100

Today’s Matters: Quiet before the storm

Just one week from the primary election in Kansas. Oddly enough, as candidates busy about the state greeting supporters and corralling votes, the news cycle has calmed. Sounds like the calm before a great thunderstorm on the plains (I've missed those in my European travel); then again, maybe everything has been said and revealed? To the news...

1. Senator Sam Brownback, the leading candidate for governor, reported that he had raised over $2 million in his campaign, including $500,000 since January 1st. State Senator Tom Holland, Brownback's likely Democratic opponent, has raised close to $300,000 in his five month candidacy, leaving him in an unfavorable position (especially considering the tilt of this year's election cycle both nationally and within the state and Brownback's vast advantage in name recognition). However, I've mentioned before how one can only admire Holland's political courage in a race any Democrat would be hard pressed to contend, let alone win.

2. In another campaign finance related note, State Treasurer Dennis McKinney, former Minority Leader in the Kansas House, has a lopsided fiscal lead over his Republican opponent, Sedgwick County Treasurer Ron Estes. In reports filed by the campaigns on Monday, McKinney had almost $175,000 cash on hand against Estes' $1,300 (from a puny $5,400 in contributions - nearly $1,400 from the candidate himself). The two are the only candidates in the race.

2. Democratic U.S. House candidate Stephene Moore is a part of a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee plan, a "$28 million investment in television advertising for the final weeks of the fall campaign," reported the New York Times. Moore is the only non-incumbent involved in the ad buy, though she is running to retain the seat held by her husband, Congressman Dennis Moore, for the last 12 years.

3. Republican Secretary of State candidate J.R. Claeys has a new ad out about requiring ID cards when voting in Kansas. The issue makes sense - immigration has become a big issue as a result of the Arizona law passed earlier this year, but the delivery, especially in a race with it's author, fellow GOP SoS candidate Kris Kobach, seems bound to fail.

What's more for Claeys, is that Shawnee County Election Commissioner Elizabeth Ensley has staked out the moderate role in the race, receiving the endorsements of former Secretaries of State Ron Thornburg and Bill Graves.

4. Paij Rutschman, Republican candidate for U.S. Congress in the 4th District, was the subject a Wichita Eagle yesterday.

4. From Prime Buzz:

This slipped under the radar: Save the Children says Missouri and Kansas are among the worst states in preparation for natural and man-made disasters and their effects on kids.

“Five years (after Katrina), the United States remains seriously and unnecessarily unprepared to protect children when they are most vulnerable during major disasters,” the report says.

In a report attached below, the group sets up four disaster preparedness criteria: a plan for evacuating kids in child care, reunifying families after a disaster, dealing with children with special needs, and an evacuation plan for schools.

Missouri and Kansas meet none of the group’s standards. Seven states, in total, came up zero.

Yikes.

Scroll to the bottom to download the attachment.

22Jul/100

Dole Institute marks former Senator’s birthday

From the Dole Institute of Politics:

Today is Bob Dole's 87th birthday!

On July 22, 1923, Doran and Bina Dole celebrated the birth of their second child, Robert. Growing up in Russell, Kan., Bob and his three siblings learned the value of hard work. This work ethic guided Bob as a lietenant in the U.S. Army and in his 46 year-long political career, which began with his election to the Kansas Legislature in 1950 and ended with his retirement from the U.S. Senate as Majority Leader in 1996. His dedication to our nation continues today with his success as a senior statesman.

Please join us in celebrating Bob Dole for his lifelong dedication to public service by sending your memories and well-wishes to Senator Dole.
CLICK HERE to send him birthday greetings or reply to this email.

You can also mail cards to:
Senator Bob Dole
Alston & Bird
10th Floor (The Atlantic Building)
950 F Street NW
Washington, DC 20004

22Jul/100

Today’s Matters: Roberts talks football; Parkinson to make cameo in play

1. In the heated primary race between Congressmen Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt to succeed Senator Sam Brownback, action centered around Moran yesterday, as he acted both in congruence with and opposition to Tiahrt's recent moves. First, news indicating Moran, too, had joined the recently formed Tea Party caucus in the House of Representatives was released by Moran's campaign spokesman in an e-mail.

Next, stepping away from the negative rhetoric of Tiahrt, Moran released a positive ad in the KC area:

2. Serious accusations have come out of the 4th District Republican primary between front-running candidates Wink Hartman and Mike Pompeo. It all begins with the following ad:

The Hartman campaign, which began running two nights ago in Wichita, stands firmly behind the ad featuring Daniel Lind, former owner of Machining Concepts Inc., a company that "supplied machined parts to Thayer Aerospace in the early 2000s, when Pompeo was president of the company," according to Wichitopekington.

The Pompeo campaign has reacted by calling the ad "a fraud" and asking TV stations to stop airing it. From the Wichitopekington story:

In a press conference this morning, Pompeo called the ad a “malicious attack” of a “desperate man,” and he said that Lind was paid in full — about $351,000. His campaign passed out manila envelops with an e-mail from Glenn Steele, chief operating officer of Thayer Aerospace Manufacturing (now known as Nex-Tech Aerospace), that says “all legitimate claims have been paid to all of our suppliers.” Another e-mail from Steve Becker, Chief Financial Officer of Kice Industries, who was Thayer’s controller from April 2001 to January 2005, said all suppliers were paid while he was there.

The envelopes also contained Lind’s personal bankruptcy filings, which do not list Thayer as “accounts receivable.” It’s unclear whether any business bankruptcy filings contain reference to Thayer.

“I call on Mr. Hartman to immediately release any documentation or support that he has which would substantiate the claim that is contained in that advertisement,” Pompeo said. “I will formally, within hours, ask each of the television stations that is airing this ad to remove this ad from the air if they do not have documentation satisfactorily supporting these claims.”

The Hartman campaign, however, stands by it's statements.

[Hartman campaign manager Scott] Paradise said Lind’s company filed bankruptcy and that the bank may have later collected the money Thayer owed. He said he plans to get documents from Lind as soon as possible that show Thayer had not paid its bills.

“If they ended up paying the bank, that’s fine and good,” he said. “But that  doesn’t change the fact that Daniel Lind lost his company, lost his employees and lost his paycheck.”

Lind confirmed he was the person in the ad and he said he stands by his statements.

For more information, check the story yourself. Also, check out this story checking the truth of claims made by previous ads between Pompeo and Hartman. For now, no word on how this might affect Pompeo or Hartman - especially considering the assertions State Senator Jean Schodorf continues to make about how close she is to the leading men in the race.

3. Quick hits from Topeka: the $99 million budget shortfall for fiscal year 2010 and how it was made up; the preparation for "status quo budgets" from state agencies for the next fiscal year; the governor's request for the federal government to declare "an agricultural disaster" in 9 Kansas counties.

4. In lighter news, Governor Mark Parkinson will take to the stage to play the roll of Mr. Gibbs in the Topeka Civic Theater's fundraising night performance of "Arsenic and Old Lace." From the LJ-World:

Parkinson’s office said the governor has not acted before. Ironically, when he was in high school he tried out for the same part in “Arsenic and Old Lace” — and was rejected, his office said.

5. Also on the entertaining side of seriousness, a clip of Senator Pat Roberts jesting with colleague Senator Ben Nelson of Nebraska about his school's jump to the Big 10 in a committee hearing. Some might find the gesture a bit upsetting - wondering why such is going on during government business, but just think if more social interaction between men like Roberts, a Republican, and Nelson, a Democrat, occurred? Perhaps there would be a much more civil debate going on, and we could all benefit from that.

21Jul/100

Today’s Matters: Advance voting and robo-calls

1. Secretary of State Chris Biggs released the following TV advertisement encouraging early voting in the August 3rd primary. Though the registration deadline has passed for the primary (you can still register for the general election until 15 days before; so by October 19), voters can still request advance ballots up until July 30.

2. Attorney General Steve Six issued a warning to political campaigns about the use of robo-calls yesterday. The following was included in a statement from the Attorney General's office:

“Although state law does not yet allow me to protect Kansans’ privacy rights from political robo-calls, federal law authorizes me to make every effort to ensure that campaigns using robo-calls are not shrouded in secrecy,” Six said.

The Attorney General’s Office frequently receives complaints about unsolicited robo-calls.  Although there is no state law restricting these automated, pre-recorded messages, the federal Telephone Consumer Protection Act (TCPA) requires robo-calls to state clearly at the beginning of the call the identity of the party responsible for initiating the call.

The call also must include the telephone number of the party initiating the call so that the person receiving the call will have an opportunity to demand not to receive any further calls.  The telephone number provided may not be a 900 number or any other number for which charges exceed local or long distance transmission charges. The Kansas Attorney General’s Office is empowered to enforce the Act in Kansas.  Violators of the Act may be subject to court-ordered injunctions and damages of up to $1500 per violation.

Kansans receiving robo-calls that do not comply with federal law should contact the Attorney General’s Consumer Protection Division at www.ksag.org or by calling (785) 296-3751 or (800) 432-2310.

3. In the Republican U.S. Senate primary that will never go away, another Survey USA poll indicates Congressman Jerry Moran with a big lead over fellow Representative Todd Tiahrt. However, according to Prime Buzz, this is Moran's slimmest margin since March and "Among conservatives, among those with favorable opinions of the tea party movement, and among pro-life voters" the pair are now tied.

In related news, Tiahrt has joined the Tea Party caucus, chaired by Congresswoman Michelle Bachman (R-MN) to once again further his conservative credentials.

4. Eight of the nine Republican candidates in the primary for the 3rd District spoke at a gathering in Johnson County yesterday. Prime Buzz has video. Released today - a statement saying: "All nine [Republicans in the] ...race signed an agreement pledging a 'full and unconditional endorsement' for the winner of the Aug. 3 primary." Many would argue disunity is what plagued GOP nominees against Congressman Dennis Moore. None of them would like to repeat history against his wife, Stephene.

5. Forgotten yesterday was the story that Democrats retook the lead in Gallup's generic congressional ballot question 49-43 percent. Not sure what that means? Here's The Fix's explanation:

Democrats' six point margin represents a bump from the Gallup data earlier this month -- Democrat 47 percent, Republican 46 percent -- and marks the first time that Democrats have had a statistically significant edge on the question so far this election cycle.The reason for Democrats' upward movement in the poll appears to be independent voters where Republicans now hold a four point generic edge (43 percent to 39 percent), a major drop from Gallup polling earlier this month that showed the GOP with a 14-point margin.

A few caveats: 1) The generic ballot should not be taken as predictive of what is going to happen in any particular House race but rather as an broad -- though usually accurate -- indicator of which way the national wind is blowing. 2) This is one poll. Gallup has shown Republicans consistently tied or ahead in the generic ballot question and it's not clear whether these latest findings are an outlier or the start of a broader trend. 3) This is a poll of registered voters not likely voters, making it slightly less predictive about expected election outcomes.

Although the generic has clearly improved for Democrats, some of the other numbers in the poll should provide them pause about the election to come -- most notably a widening enthusiasm gap between the two parties' bases.

More than half (51 percent) of self-identifying Republicans describe themselves as "very enthusiastic" about the coming election while roughly half that number (28 percent) of Democrats say the same.

If midterm elections are about base turnout and history suggests they are that sort of base energy disparity could signal major Democratic losses in the fall -- no matter what the generic ballot says.

Figures reported on today, which indicated the financial readiness of each party's congressional campaign committees for battle this fall, create additional intrigue. While the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) outraised the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) for the last three months ($21.7 million to $19.3 million) and now all of this year ($39 million to $38 million), the NRCC only has half as much on hand as the DCCC ($17 million to $34 million) leaving them as prepared as possible for the tough midterm battles ahead.

20Jul/100

Today’s Matters: Tiahrt slings more mud; Schodorf poll confuses, again

Lots of news around the interweb today. Let's to it.

1. For starters, the Tiahrt-Moran mudfest shows no signs of slowing. Here's Tiahrt's latest shot now up on TV.

If you're confused at all as to what's going to happen in this race (it would be hard not to have seen or heard ads for the race unless you've been out of state this summer), KC Star go-to political reporter Steve Kraske offered this on Saturday:

Watch what they do, not what they say. Tihart’s campaign says the race is a statistical dead heat.

But Tiahrt is acting like he’s behind by a whole bunch more. He’s been the aggressor in the race and is pushing a slew of hard-hitting ads, including one featuring Gracia Burnham of Rose Hill, Kan.

She survived a kidnapping in the Philippines that resulted in the death of her husband, Martin. The spot knocks Moran for opposing a 2006 bill that sanctioned military tribunals to try suspected terrorists. The spot says he was “protecting” terrorists “with constitutional rights.”

“Mr. Moran, there’s no excuse for this,” Burnham says into the camera. “There just isn’t.”

Tiahrt’s big gamble is that the negative ads will raise enough doubt among voters that they turn away from Moran.

But has he been so negative that voters have begun tuning him out? Maybe.

Moran’s pollster, the respected Public Opinion Strategies, said exactly that in a memo last week. Pollster Glen Bolger could be right.

Tiahrt has one distinct advantage, and that’s what his campaign describes as an active grass-roots network of conservatives who will get out the vote on what could be a sultry Aug. 3 primary day.

That’s why Tiahrt is pushing endorsements from the big guns of American conservatism: Palin, Dobson, Ashcroft, Forbes.

The far-right activists remain the race’s wildest wild card.

Hailing from the big 1st District in western Kansas, Moran had a lead coming out of the gate. Those folks vote. One independent pollster, SurveyUSA, had Moran up 72-15 in that part of the state.

That’s huge, and it may be enough for Moran to win going away, particularly if the two candidates split in Topeka-Lawrence and over here.

In his TV ads, Tiahrt never introduced himself to voters in eastern Kansas. He came out of the gate firing, maybe because he was behind early on. His campaign said the approach was intentional, that voters were in no mood for fluff.

But voters want to have a feel for folks they place in high office. That never happened.

If Tiahrt wins, it’ll be a squeaker. If anyone’s walking away with this thing, it’s Moran.

2. State Senator Jean Schodorf, third wheel in the Republican primary in the 4th District, who made news three weeks ago when she contended the race was much closer than news polls indicated, is at it again. This time the KCWH poll done by Survey USA has front runners Wink Hartman and Mike Pompeo within the margin of error at 31 and 32 percent, respectively. Schodorf had 16 percent, while 9 percent of Republicans were undecided. The Schodorf poll, however, had Hartman at 19 percent, Schodorf with 18 percent and Pompeo in third with 16 percent. In that poll, 39 percent of those surveyed were still undecided. The differences are puzzling, but likely have much to do with the differences in how the polls were conducted.

In other Schodorf news, former U.S. Senator from Kansas Nancy Kassebaum Baker announced her endorsement of Schodorf last week. The question, as the Wichita Eagle Editorial Department blog asked, is whether or not it will matter to the voters of the 4th District. Right now, Schodorf's internal polls are seriously clouding the race.

3. Republican Secretary of State candidate J.R. Claeys has hit the airwaves with this ad in an effort to gain some recognition in the three way primary battle to be the state's top election official. He has the unenviable task of trying to defeat the author of the Arizona immigration law, UMKC law professor and former U.S. Congressional candidate Kris Kobach. Long-time Shawnee County Elections Commissioner and choice of former four-term Secretary of State Ron Thornburg, Elizabeth "Libby" Ensley is also in the race.

4. National stories of interest: a Politico story discussing the Democrats' strategy to pass new environmental laws, and media groups filing a 'friend of the court' brief in support of Fred Phelps' case before the Supreme Court.